
Laura Duffy
Laura is a Senior Researcher on the Worldview Investigations Team. Before her current role, she was an Executive Research Coordinator for Marcus Davis. Previously, Laura was a policy analyst at the Progressive Policy Institute specializing in United States budget and tax policy. She holds a Bachelor of Science in Statistics from the University of Chicago.
Research Articles
How can risk aversion affect your cause prioritization?
Imagine you’re faced with the following two choices, A and B, and you can push a button to select one or the other to occur. If you choose A, you will save 10 people’s lives with 99% certainty. If you choose B, you have a 1% chance of saving 1,200 people’s lives and a 99% chance of saving none. Which would you choose? This is the fourth post in the CURVE sequence.
Historical farmed animal welfare ballot initiatives
This report estimates the impact and cost-effectiveness of four historical U.S. ballot initiatives that either restricted the use of common animal confinement methods, set minimum per-animal space requirements, and/or mandated cage-free systems for egg-laying hens.
Is x-risk cost-effective if we only count a few generations?
This is the eighth post in the Worldview Investigations Team’s sequence of posts—Causes and uncertainty: Rethinking value in expectation (CURVE). This post examines whether x-risk the most cost-effective issue to focus on if we count only the next few generations.
2022 Effective Animal Advocacy Forum Survey: Results and analysis
This report analyzes the results of a survey of attendees at the Effective Animal Advocacy (EAA) Coordination Forum held in September 2022. The attendees represented approximately 20 key groups in the animal advocacy space.
Strategic Directions for a Digital Consciousness Model
The Worldview Investigations Team is in the process of building a model to estimate the probabilities of consciousness in near-future AIs.
Initial results of the Digital Consciousness Model
A comprehensive scientific framework for assessing evidence of AI consciousness.
