Michael Aird

From June 22, Rethink Priorities and Metaculus will run a Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament to help inform funding, policy, research, and career decisions aimed at reducing existential risks. The starting prize pool is $2,500. We would be excited for you to help via making forecasts, participating in the Discussion Forum, increasing forecaster rewards by becoming a monthly Supporter, and/or reaching out to relevant people to suggest they participate.

As one effort to increase strategic clarity, the AI Governance and Strategy team sent a survey to 229 people they had reason to believe are knowledgeable about longtermist AI governance.