This is the ninth post in the Worldview Investigations Team’s sequence of posts—Causes and uncertainty: Rethinking value in expectation (CURVE). This post introduces Rethink Priorities’ cross-cause cost-effectiveness model.

This is the eighth post in the Worldview Investigations Team’s sequence of posts—Causes and uncertainty: Rethinking value in expectation (CURVE). This post examines whether x-risk the most cost-effective issue to focus on if we count only the next few generations.

Imagine you’re faced with the following two choices, A and B, and you can push a button to select one or the other to occur. If you choose A, you will save 10 people’s lives with 99% certainty. If you choose B, you have a 1% chance of saving 1,200 people’s lives and a 99% chance of saving none. Which would you choose? This is the fourth post in the CURVE sequence.

This report analyzes the results of a survey of attendees at the Effective Animal Advocacy (EAA) Coordination Forum held in September 2022. The attendees represented approximately 20 key groups in the animal advocacy space.

This report estimates the impact and cost-effectiveness of four historical U.S. ballot initiatives that either restricted the use of common animal confinement methods, set minimum per-animal space requirements, and/or mandated cage-free systems for egg-laying hens.